As always, the numbers are not truly indicative of how the votes will go even in the state of Iowa, and there are always statistical anomalies to consider, but these are the numbers worth discussing:
I had to break the Republican polling down to three screenshots:
Ben Carson's numbers have gone upward to 79 percent at the top of the list: other risers are Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, and Bobby Jindal. Huckabee's favorable remains high. Graham and Christie are going nowhere.
Pataki and Gilmore might as well give up and hope for a Veep offer.
Rand Paul is the one losing the most in this round of polling by the looks of it. Walker remains healthy in polling and Santorum is hanging in there. The marked improvement is with Trump, who switched his unfavorable in May (63 percent) to a favorable in August (61 percent).
This poll is where things get scary: Iowan Republicans' First Choice/Second Choice options, if they really had to get down to a primary vote.
Let's rehash. The top two choices for Republicans are candidates who have never served an elected office or an appointed executive office. Three of the top five never served an elected office or appointed executive office. One of the remaining top five is a known rabble-rouser who disrupts his own party's political ranks as a neophyte rookie Senator. The only "traditional" candidate with any campaign/elective experience is Walker (as Governor).
Jeb! Bush is nowhere in the Top Five. He's not even popular as a Second Choice. (under normal circumstances a lot of people would be calling on him to drop out of the race to let a higher polling candidate pick up the needed support...)
If you're wondering about the Democrats, here's their numbers for choices:
The Democrats do not have any candidate lacking in elected / political experience.
I just want to mention one other thing: as I noted about Moderates/Centrists, one of the consistent values of such voters is respect for experience/competency for the job. The Republicans may well love the idea of a pure Outsider like Trump or Carson rising up to take the nomination, but will that translate into support for such an inexperienced candidate in a general election where Moderate/Centrist voters are needed for winning?
I ask: which party should be more worried right about now?