tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27554065.post2445585388460899703..comments2024-03-18T18:43:11.321-04:00Comments on You Might Notice a Trend: We Need To Redefine Battleground StatesPaul Whttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13092023794397583036noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27554065.post-24261165525568881832016-08-13T20:00:32.085-04:002016-08-13T20:00:32.085-04:00I interrupt this comment section to report that Co...I interrupt this comment section to report that Colorado has the lowest obesity rate of any state in the U.S.<br /><br />http://stateofobesity.org/states/co/<br /><br />We now resume the regularly scheduled discussion of the presidential election.Pinku-Senseihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16247618351725715844noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27554065.post-578531585377445952016-08-13T15:11:49.242-04:002016-08-13T15:11:49.242-04:00Maybe folks in NC aren't all that happy with t... Maybe folks in NC aren't all that happy with their experiment in Republican majorities right about now. Last night Steve Kornacki's map showed that Hillary could lose Florida AND Ohio and still win. I don't want to jinx anything, but can that be a wave I'm seeing rising up in the distance?<br /><br /> -Doug in Oakland dinthebeasthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12941071534250216503noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27554065.post-17453504115071507102016-08-13T04:01:46.453-04:002016-08-13T04:01:46.453-04:00States like Virginia and Colorado - with relativel...<i>States like Virginia and Colorado - with relatively large suburban, conservative-leaning voters</i><br /><br />Relatively large voters? I know the obesity epidemic is an ongoing issue, but.....:-)<br /><br />There's one other factor that could make things even worse for the Republicans. The spikes in Latino voter registration we've been seeing could foreshadow an increase in the historically-low Latino voter turnout level -- something which polls might not be capturing, since they tend to assume turnout models will be similar to previous comparable years. All the states with large Latino populations except Texas are already blue on your map, but the popular-vote margin matters too -- to blunt accusations of fraud, and to show the rest of the world that the US has (mostly) not gone dangerously insane.<br /><br />Gary Johnson and Egg McMuffin could be a factor as well. Third candidates normally fade as the election approaches and people realize that a vote for a third candidate is effectively a vote for the opposing major candidate, and they shift back to their own major candidate. But in this case, a lot of the conservatives leaning toward third candidates really consider Hillary less bad than Trump, so they may not shift back to Trump. On our side, the people leaning toward Stein will mostly shift back to Hillary since Trump is easily worse.Infidel753https://www.blogger.com/profile/10965786814334886696noreply@blogger.com