Sunday, September 22, 2024

What I'm Hoping This 2024 Election Cycle

What the hell, while I'm in a happy, perky mood this afternoon (don't tell me the bloody Broncos-Bucs football score yet dammit). 

From the 270towin website

This is what I want the Presidential Electoral map to look like after this November's Election Day:

I know this isn't real, and the odds of this happening are slim to none: But if the Democrats can drum up this much enthusiasm and turnout in even the rural Red States of the Midwest - if they can keep Georgia and flip North Carolina, Florida, Alabama, and Texas Blue to break the goddamned racist Southern Strategy - this would override any trumpian attempts at sabotaging the elections. Oh, he and the other Republicans will scream "STOLEN" but there will be too many states and too many voters refusing to play their game. It'll be the largest Electoral College stomping by the Democrats since 1964, and the conservative GOP will feel the impact.

Hell, I'm letting the Libertarians ride off with New Hampshire just to piss off trump after he tried to bully and threaten them into supporting his orange ass (and failed). It'll unlikely affect the state-level elections unless the Libertarians are running a lot of candidates there to overtake control of that legislature, but hey if they do let's see how bad they can fuck up a state and let the bears sort it out.

Along with that big wish for the Presidential race - BALZ TO THE WALZ, Dems! - I hope we get to see this map for the Senatorial races happening across the nation.

Had to copy/paste this from 270towin,
 couldn't embed for some reason.

Even if Harris wins the Presidential race, it's going to hurt her if the Republicans regain control of the Senate - even by one seat - and stymie every Judicial and Cabinet nomination she brings to the table. It'd also be pretty to watch the pro-Insurrectionist GOP Senators like Missouri's Hawley get tossed out on their ass, while Rick "Medicare Fraud" Scott and Ted "Cancun" Cruz suffer for their evil ways. It'd be funny to see Scott get kicked out just as he's fighting to become the Republican party leader for the Senate as Mitch McConnell is stepping down from that role.

The real Senate map is a lot tighter - and more harrowing - as the seats for Texas, Florida, Missouri are threatening to stay Republican, while losing West Virginia as Joe Manchin retires and with Montana's Joe Tester under attack there. If the Dems can win the White House while tying it up 50-even in the Senate, the Vice Presidency to Walz becomes key, but damn it will make passing legislation a lot harder. So here's hoping a massive Democratic voter turnout EVERYwhere - especially Nebraska where an independent campaign backed by the Dems is doing well - secures a Blue Senate.

Along with the hopes for the Presidency and the Senate are hopes for the House to flip Democratic as well. Given how gerrymandering created an unfair advantage for the Republicans in 2022 and they STILL couldn't dominate control of that branch of government, the recent attempts in battleground states like Wisconsin to undo that damage could help in minor ways to allow the Dems a stronger shot. A massive Kamala/Walz Blue Wave that flips a lot of Red states should guarantee a massive flip in the House and give Jeffries the Speakership.

(I can't show a 270towin map for the House races because it's damn near impossible to work it)

I'm also hoping that this massive Blue Wave coincides with the ten state-level referenda - especially in Florida - that can override the wingnut legislatures and undo their anti-abortion laws that are punishing doctors and killing women. As long as voters make the mental connection that the Republicans running for state level and congressional seats are the ones responsible for those draconian laws and decide to vote them out for it, we should see major Democratic gains in those ten states.

This is all I'm hoping - and praying - for this election cycle, America.

I hope you are too, and doing your part to vote and get everyone else to vote alongside us.


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