Sunday, April 30, 2023

The Waiting for trump Indictments IS the Hardest Part

Update: Driftglass, while I'm grateful for the link to Crooks&Liars' Mike's Blog Round-Up this Monday, I seriously want people to go straight to Emptywheel's articles so she can get the stat numbers. All this page does is provide links to her. I encourage you to go straight to https://emptywheel.net/ right now.


It's still hard to just sit here and wait for the legal consequences to show up - if ever - for donald trump's various criminal misdeeds, but while we're waiting Emptywheel went and created three updated reports on "where we stand" regarding three of the major criminal investigations facing trump. 

I encourage the nine official readers of this blog to hop over - if you haven't already - to her website and check out each entry. I will only provide quick quotes of each to entice you over there.

Where the investigation stands in Georgia:

...Willis discovered that, while Bobb claimed to have been uninvolved in the crimes in Georgia, she testified that she and, “at least two dozen others,”  over at least two rooms, sat in on Trump’s call to Brad Raffensperger, and “we all thought … it was totally fine.” On top of discovering that there were up to 24 witnesses who might be willing to misrepresent the call at trial, this may have caught Rudy Giuliani in a lie...

Where the investigation stands with stolen documents:

...Not only are Trump’s attorneys wildly ill-suited to an Espionage case, but as they admit in the letter, they haven’t reviewed the classified documents Trump retained. If, as some of the questions reportedly asked of witnesses seems to have suggested, Trump tried to curate classified documents for his own personal revenge, then it may make 793 charges more compelling...

Where the investigation stands with January 6th insurrection:

...On Thursday, Mike Pence testified to the January 6 grand jury for over five hours. Many commentators have suggested — and I agree — that was one of the last major testimonial steps Jack Smith would need to take before deciding whether and if so how to charge Trump for inciting a mob to threaten to assassinate his Vice President...

Please go read each article in full and leave affirmative comments to each one, thank ye.

As for any possible indictments, it's clear the Georgia case won't start issuing them until July 11th. I am hopeful that with my birth month being May, that I will get to enjoy some federal indictments over the stolen documents AND trump's incitement to riot along with my birthday cake. Yum.

Wednesday, April 26, 2023

The Mouse Goes To War

Oh it's on.


Via Greg Allen at NPR:

The Walt Disney Company has filed a lawsuit against Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and other officials. Disney accuses DeSantis with orchestrating a "campaign of government retaliation" against the company and violating its protected speech.

It's the latest action in a feud that began more than a year ago when Disney's former CEO said he'd work to overturn a law banning discussion of sexual orientation and gender identity in the schools. The law, the "Parental Rights in Education Act," is called "Don't Say Gay" by critics.

At DeSantis' urging, Republican lawmakers passed a bill that stripped Disney of its self-governing authority. But before the law took effect, Disney signed a deal with its outgoing board allowing it to retain development rights on the 40-square mile district. It also included covenants that give Disney final say on any alterations to the property.

At a meeting Wednesday near Orlando, DeSantis' handpicked board voted to invalidate that agreement. Moments later, Disney filed a 77-page lawsuit in federal court, charging DeSantis and other officials with violations of the contracts clause, the takings clause, due process and its First Amendment right to protected speech. In its lawsuit, Disney says, "This government action was patently retaliatory, patently anti-business, and patently unconstitutional." The company is asking a federal judge to declare the board's action "unlawful and unenforceable."

And it's turning out a lot of the evidence Disney is presenting is coming from DeSantis' own hagiography that's he been shilling on his "Almost Presidential" campaign (he can't openly announce he's running because current Florida law would force him to resign the governorship... so he's getting the State Lege to invalidate that law only for himself).

I mean, not only DeSantis but every one of his allies in Florida's government have been open about their actions against Disney as retaliation for Disney's pro-gay stance:



Other than DeSantis failing to promise barricading all of I-4 so that nobody can get to the Magic Kingdom, Disney's got an open-shut case of retaliation here.

We're at one of the craziest moments in the modern Republican / Conservative movement, one that had been supercharged by a fundamental(ist) belief by the Far Right in the sacred rights of large corporations to Do Whatever Thou Will. That cornerstone belief in Capitalism and supporting businesses to be as unregulated and free of government restraint as possible... is now burned to ash as DeSantis wages a Scorched Earth campaign using government power to punish a business. It turns out that businesses making trillions are still liable to the totalitarian fantasies of Far Right political leaders who demand loyalty and meekness from their corporate allies when it comes to Culture War Supremacy.

It turns out that being pro-gay and friendly on other civil rights issues is a great business model as it attracts more buyers than boycotters, but it undercuts the fearmongering and sadism that the Far Right seek to impose on the nation (if not the world).

And so, DeSantis made attempt after attempt to bring Disney to heel, to force them to renounce their gay-friendly activities at the theme parks. He's not just trying to seize control of the Orlando-area theme park and the surrounding properties, he's trying to use his hand-picked board of lackeys to impose control of Disney's own corporate policies and marketing (with threats to censor Disney for everything in opposition to the Far Right's Christianist agenda) outside of Florida.

Disney, trying to avoid getting into a political dogfight, used the legal system however they could as a large corporation - with a literal army of lawyers at their command - to work around every stunt DeSantis pulled. When it looked like DeSantis was going to succeed getting the legislature to revoke the older Reedy Creek special district board with a stack of business cronies and wingnut allies, Disney got ahead of that effort by getting the older board to create a business plan that negated any future attempts by the new board to undermine Disney's operations, and tied it into the British Royal Family as a way to rub it in (God Save Lilibet of Sussex of the House of Windsor, long may she reign as a Dinsey Princess!).

DeSantis should have taken the hint then that Disney could outfight and outlast him. But like any bully - like the Culture War absolutists among the Far Right convinced of their destiny to rule and ruin - DeSantis could not back down.

So now it's a legal battle, where the bloodshed gets nastier.

The Battle of Reedy Creek just escalated. All of central Florida is at risk now.

Stay safe out there, folks. You might get caught in the crossfire (DeSantis shuts down the Disney Village shopping area for asset forfeiture) OH SON OF A BI---

Tuesday, April 25, 2023

Tick Tock trump, On the Clock In Georgia

The current status on the case in Georgia involving trump's various attempts to interfere with the 2020 election results: the Fulton County DA Fani Willis announced she will begin charging decisions with the next court cycle beginning July 11, 2023. We now have a countdown. Details via Blayne Alexander, Charlie Gile and Dareh Gregorian at NBC News

Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis said Monday that she'll announce charging decisions stemming from her probe into possible interference in the 2020 election by former President Donald Trump and his allies as early as mid-July.

Willis said the charging decisions will be revealed during the state Superior Court’s fourth term, which begins July 11 and ends Sept. 1...

“In the near future, I will announce charging decisions resulting from the investigation my office has been conducting into possible criminal interference in the administration of Georgia’s 2020 general election,” Willis wrote in a letter Monday to Fulton County Sheriff Patrick Labat.

She said “the need for vigilance will increase” during that time period.

“Open-source intelligence has indicated the announcement of decisions in this case may provoke significant public reaction,” Willis wrote. “We have seen in recent years that some may go outside of public expressions of opinion that are protected by the First Amendment to engage in acts of violence that will endanger the safety of our community. As leaders, it is incumbent on us to prepare.”

Willis is referring to the ongoing incitement by trump on social media to get his followers to RISE UP and defend him, similar to how he summoned about 2000 of them to riot at the Capitol on January 6th. It may seem odd otherwise that Willis isn't announcing charges now, but giving law enforcement and the judicial security people time to plan ahead for MAGA riots is a sensible move (although she could have done this back earlier in the year when the special grand jury presented their recommendations).

Given what we know from that special grand jury, we should expect a lot of indictments handed out: Not just to donald trump but also to his handlers working on his election fraud schemes, and also the 'Fake Electors' in Georgia who had volunteered to counter the official Electors going to Congress that January.

One of the other reasons for the delay until July is that Willis is trying to offer a lifeline to those fake electors with plea deals, but running into their lawyer blocking all offers. A little more detail from Digby over at Hullabaloo with her quoting tweets from legal expert Lisa Rubin:

Recall that last week, Willis’s office moved to disqualify a lawyer representing 10 of Georgia’s fake electors. They had two grounds: First, that she did not, contrary to representations by her then-co-counsel, communicate immunity offers to certain of her clients.

Second, they revealed that in meetings with prosecutors on 4/12 and 4/14, certain of that lawyer’s clients accused another fake elector — and fellow client — of committing “acts that are violations of Georgia law.”

Because of the “impracticable and ethical mess” the lawyer created, the D.A.’s office has moved to disqualify her from representing ANY of the 10 electors, all of whom were notified last year they were targets of the investigation.

That means 10 people — some of whom remain targets, others of whom are cooperators or exploring cooperation — likely need new lawyers.

I've mentioned before - and others with greater legal experience can as well - that in criminal conspiracy cases like this involving a broad circle of people, prosecutors love to get the lower-rung players to flip and get the eyewitness testimony to go along with the paper trails. The more you get to testify, the harder it is for the higher-ups in the conspiracy to walk away with Not Guilty verdicts. Willis needs a number of those Fake Electors - caught dead to rights with their signatures on illegal paperwork - to flip on the go-betweens who could then get pressured to flip and can give even more details that can convict the top organizers of their criminal intent.

You can flip those Fake Electors because a number of them will have personal considerations - family, business, future ambitions - that can override any loyalty they may have to a trump who wants them to go to jail so he won't have to.

By July, one way or another she'll know how the chessboard looks for her.

It's interesting how July 11 is one week after July 4. Our national day of independence followed by our national day of justice against trump and his handlers who tried to overthrow that independence.

Let the countdown to July 11 begin.

Monday, April 24, 2023

The Tucker Carlson Hate Machine Unplugged

Let's just get to the facts. This Monday morning, without ceremony or forewarning, Fox Not-News kicked their prime-time fearmonger Tucker Carlson to the curb. To refer to David Folkenflik at NPR:

In an austere, four-sentence statement, Fox News announced Monday that prime-time star Tucker Carlson is leaving the network, effective immediately.

"FOX News Media and Tucker Carlson have agreed to part ways," the network said in a statement released by a spokesperson. "We thank him for his service to the network as a host and prior to that as a contributor."

Fox said Carlson's last day hosting his show was Friday, April 21. Suzanne Scott and Lachlan Murdoch, the chief executives of Fox News and its parent company Fox Corp. respectively, had decided Carlson's fate on Friday, a source with knowledge told NPR...

The ouster of Fox's top opinion host comes less than a week after Fox settled an epic defamation lawsuit by an election technology company for more than $787 million. Dominion Voting Systems sued over segments promoting bogus claims that election fraud cheated then-President Donald Trump of victory in 2020...

Oddly enough, the follow-up reporting on Carlson's ouster wasn't the damaging revelations from Dominion's civil suit - although it should have been the reason - it had more to do with the pending damage involving the lawsuits from former show producer Abby Grossberg, who claimed a harmful sexist workplace and apparently had the receipts to back her up.

In a lawsuit filed in the Southern District of New York, Grossberg accused Carlson and Fox of sexism and harassment, alleging that his show's workplace was replete with examples of misogyny. Her lawsuit claims, among other things, that mocked-up photographic images depicted then-U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi "in a bathing suit revealing her cleavage" and that staffers were polled — on two separate occasions — on which of two female candidates for Michigan governor they would rather have sex with.

"Tucker Carlson's departure from Fox News is, in part, an admission of the systemic lying, bullying, and conspiracy-mongering claimed by our client," said Tanvir Rahman, one of Grossberg's lawyers, in a statement Monday afternoon. "Mr. Carlson and his subordinates remain individual defendants in the S.D.N.Y. case and we look forward to taking their depositions under oath in the very near term."

All that said, let's go to the man in the street to get his opinion on how Tucker Carlson deserved this shoddy mistreatment by his billionaire bosses. (checks notes) Actually let's go to Steve M. over at No More Mister Nice Blog for more:

Whatever is happening, it's odd. Fox put election denialism on the air in 2020 because rejecting one of the Fox audience's core beliefs was seen as likely to damage the Fox brand. But in 2023 nothing could damage the Fox brand in the eyes of viewers more than letting Tucker Carlson go. Has Rupert Murdoch stopped caring about the brand? Or does he resent Carlson's demagoguery about "globalism," which he might regard as an indictment of people like himself?

I assume everything will settle down soon. There'll be a Jesse Watters or Greg Gutfeld show in Carlson's slot and the vitriol will be flowing again as if it never stopped.

But Carlson was worse than other Fox hosts, and it will be good to have him gone -- possibly for a while. Does he have a non-compete clause? If so, how long will it silence him? For a long time, I hope.

As Steve notes, the Fox Not-News network was chugging along just fine with its brand of Far Right toxic fearmongering before Tucker showed up. After all, he filled the gap left open by Bill O'Reilly, who also departed under a cloud of sexual misconduct. And the network will happily plug in a fresh face who'll figure out the proper mix of racism, sexism, and anti-Semitism that made Tucker their number one guy (until he was a millstone).

That Tucker is getting forced out over the same troubles with women that O'Reilly departed, and considering how Roger Ailes' tenure as network overlord ended over sexual harassment charges, we should all notice how misogynistic that whole network seems to be (they may hire a lot of women but they sure as hell mistreat them).

But Tucker Carlson was a monster in his own right, a horrifying blend of upper-class privilege and white-boy grievance. He began with a conservative bent and skewed further rightward towards fascism. If Tucker wasn't shilling lies about the January 6th insurrection, he was sucking up to Putin and his dreams of Russian empire.

What made Tucker truly dangerous was his mostly-open support of the odious Replacement Theory at the base of every racist, anti-Semitic attack on American norms. It formed the foundation of every rant, every outrage towards The Dread Other - immigrants (mostly Hispanics), Blacks, Jews, women - that Tucker aired on his shows.

For all of Tucker's - and Fox Not-News' - pretensions of being a journalist, this was all he ever was: A Fearmonger. He spewed lies about others in order to have his audiences recoil in fear and then respond in anger. Tucker - and many other Far Right pundits and writers and celebrities - reveled in the controversies he stirred up, playing himself a victim to "woke" critics and getting his followers more addicted to the hate he sold.

Everything about Tucker Carlson and Fox Not-News echoed the practices of the authoritarian regimes of a fictional dystopia, Orwell's 1984. In that work, the powers running Oceania behind the leadership of Big Brother organized daily sessions of Two Minutes Hate, where workers were brought together and overwhelmed by propagandistic showings of "enemies of the state":

The next moment a hideous, grinding speech, as of some monstrous machine running without oil, burst from the big telescreen at the end of the room. It was a noise that set one’s teeth on edge and bristled the hair at the back of one’s neck. The Hate had started...

Before the Hate had proceeded for thirty seconds, uncontrollable exclamations of rage were breaking out from half the people in the room. The self-satisfied sheep-like face on the screen, and the terrifying power of the Eurasian army behind it, were too much to be borne: besides, the sight or even the thought of Goldstein produced fear and anger automatically...

In its second minute the Hate rose to a frenzy. People were leaping up and down in their places and shouting at the tops of their voices in an effort to drown the maddening bleating voice that came from the screen. The little sandy-haired woman had turned bright pink, and her mouth was opening and shutting like that of a landed fish. Even O’Brien’s heavy face was flushed. He was sitting very straight in his chair, his powerful chest swelling and quivering as though he were standing up to the assault of a wave. The dark-haired girl behind Winston had begun crying out ‘Swine! Swine! Swine!’ and suddenly she picked up a heavy Newspeak dictionary and flung it at the screen. It struck Goldstein’s nose and bounced off; the voice continued inexorably. In a lucid moment Winston found that he was shouting with the others and kicking his heel violently against the rung of his chair. The horrible thing about the Two Minutes Hate was not that one was obliged to act a part, but, on the contrary, that it was impossible to avoid joining in. Within thirty seconds any pretense was always unnecessary. A hideous ecstasy of fear and vindictiveness, a desire to kill, to torture, to smash faces in with a sledge-hammer, seemed to flow through the whole group of people like an electric current, turning one even against one’s will into a grimacing, screaming lunatic. - 1984, George Orwell

This was what Tucker Carlson brought to Fox Not-News every night. This is what Fox Not-News wanted every night. They served up Fear and Hate like drugs and their audiences got addicted to it even more.

And gods help us, the Fox Not-News overlords will find a replacement for Tucker who will provide another session of Two Minutes Hate for a full hour (minus the 27 minutes for ad space).

None of this is going to end until the whole nation wakes up to the reality that the Hate Speech Tucker and his Far Right allies are shilling - getting us to shout at screens at enemies of their state of mind - is a danger to us all. None of this is going to end until the Murdoch family and their business partners owning Fox can no longer profit from this Hate.

They unplugged Tucker Carlson today. The rest of us need to unplug Fox Not-News and finish this moment.

Sunday, April 23, 2023

These Little Details

I'd still thought that everything I thought about that night - the shame, the fear - would fade in time. But that hadn't happened. Instead, the things that I remembered, these little details, seemed to grow stronger, to the point where I could feel their weight in my chest.
-- Sarah Dessen, Just Listen


With all the other drama going on, and the growing evidence of criminal matters that donald trump is facing, this week we will witness one of the more personal and troubling allegations against him.

This week, E. Jean Carroll's defamation and rape civil matter against trump goes to trial.

Details from Jennifer Peltz at AP News: 

Former President Donald Trump’s behavior toward women, long a source of flashpoints in his political career, now faces a new level of scrutiny: a trial in a lawsuit accusing him of rape.

Jury selection is set to start Tuesday in the case filed by former advice columnist E. Jean Carroll, who says Trump raped her in a luxury New York department store dressing room in the 1990s...

The lawsuit is putting Trump’s history with women under a microscope as he runs to return to the White House. But if a trial over a rape accusation would be a crisis for most candidates, with Trump, it remains to be seen...

Trump’s political rise was riddled with criticism of his attitudes and conduct toward women. There were his insulting remarks about onetime Republican rival Carly Fiorina’s appearance, his misogynistic comments about former Fox News anchor Megyn Kelly, his double-down on denigrating a former Miss Universe whom he had pilloried about her weight and more — including, most notoriously, the crass “Access Hollywood” hot-mic recording that nearly derailed his 2016 campaign and elicited rare contrition for what he called “locker room banter.”

Then there were the dozen-plus women, including Carroll, who came forward during his campaign and presidency to accuse him of sexual assault and harassment. He denied all the claims. Other lawsuits over them were dropped or dismissed, but Carroll’s has endured...

Carroll's case endured because she held onto key evidence, and told enough people around her at the time it happened to maintain credible witnesses. She is relying on New York state laws - some recently passed - that allow her to pursue this as a civil matter, unfortunately not as a criminal one.

That it has taken her THIS long - roughly 30 years - to bring this matter to any semblance of justice reveals the failures of our legal system to handle rape and sexual assault cases in a timely manner (or at all).

Carroll didn't go public with the assault when it happened because our society, our media, our law enforcement all view rape/assault victims with disdain and disbelief. A "blame the victim" world-view adds onto the horrors that the rape victim already endured. It's worse when it's men of power and influence - even at the small-town level - alleged to commit the crimes: Given their wealth (they can afford the lawyers) and status (they maintain "good" public relations), it takes decades for anybody to hold them accountable. She only went public in 2019 to bolter the other emerging allegations that kept appearing after trump's infamous Access Hollywood interview, and given her public stature she quickly received that vitriol from trump's defenders and then trump himself. It was trump's insistence on complete innocence - defaming Carroll as a liar and "a nut" in the process - that led to this trial.

Thing about the civil nature of this trial, it won't lead to trump being found guilty and going to jail. This is more about liability and damages owed: Even if trump is found liable for both the defamation and the rape, he can walk out of the courtroom a free man. However, in the eyes of the legal system trump would be considered a rapist (would he have to register as a sex offender?), a label that his political and media defenders cannot ignore. trump can campaign and ignore the decision all he wants, but his allies can't. The Republican Party will get asked repeatedly - first by the left-leaning media and even later the 'centrist' media that can no longer look away at trump's personal sins - why they are letting their party be led by a jury-confirmed rapist.

This all depends, of course, if the jury sides with Carroll or with trump. Given how trump's history of defamatory public statements and history with other women will be presented at trial, it's hard to envision in a just world that the jury will believe trump. But this isn't a just world (SEE AGAIN "Blame the Victim" mindsets), and the jury can go either way.

There's also the possibility of a settlement. Civil trials like this tend to get settled instead of risking the jury (even for the plaintiffs). This is where trump's history of surviving numerous civil cases picks up: he's always pushed and bullied the legal system to get his many fraud victims - from the building contractors he refused to pay, to people who bought into and lost money on failed ventures, to the victims of his faux Trump University - to accept settlements that would allow trump to avoid guilt. His victims eventually settle because his lawyers had delayed and obstructed the matter for so long they can no longer afford to keep going, and they'll take a portion of what's due just to be done with the matter. 

We've just seen this, with the Dominion defamation case against Fox News. Where the voting machine company had Fox dead to rights with all the evidence of them lying to save their ratings and revenues, Dominion still settled the matter the day of jury selection because they didn't want to risk the chance the jury wouldn't side with them. As much as Fox wanted to settle knowing the odds were against them, Dominion didn't want the risk either. For the company, it was a pure business decision: Get the money, get a back-room deal from Fox to avoid any further direct attacks, and get back to making profits.

But this case is different. Carroll can't really walk away from this with a settlement: Because the rape was personal to her, it's cost her privacy and her reputation, and settling even for a ton of money would be accepting the blame. After all that trump's said in public about her, the only way she could settle would be getting a public apology for trump's attacks. And trump can't apologize, not for that, because recanting his statements means Carroll isn't the liar he accused her being. Even working a settling to get trump admitting he attacked her is next to impossible because his narcissism cannot admit guilt or accountability. Carroll's only resolution is taking this to the jury, and hoping the jury sides with her, and holding trump accountable to the law regardless of his self-serving gaslighting.

For too long, as the #MeToo movement demonstrated, men of power got away with rape, with harassment, with lying about their behavior, and with humiliating women at every turn.

For much of his public history, trump has been a man of power who abused even his own wives, treated women as property, and got away with it because the media and the legal system looked away when it mattered most. Now, nobody can look away. Everybody's going to be watching. 

And Carroll - along with hundreds of other women - will have her justice.

Monday, April 17, 2023

DeSantis' War On the Mouse Escalates to Desperation

Ron DeSantis simply cannot give up his war against The Mouse.

Even as Ft. Lauderdale struggles to recover from this weekend's flooding, DeSantis is laser-focused on bullying Disney World Orlando through threats and demands to break that corporation for their pro-Gay policies.

DeSantis is throwing out there every suggestion he can think of, from getting the state legislature to undo the Law Against Perpetuities that Disney used to block DeSantis' incoming hand-picked board of interlopers to proposing the construction of unwanted projects and buildings in the Reedy Creek district to worsen the tourism value of Disney's parks. Dylan Abad at WFLA has the story:

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis teased the possibility of erecting a new state prison near Walt Disney World’s Orlando resort while speaking at an event in the park’s district on Monday.

While the press conference centered around DeSantis’ ongoing feud with the company, the governor took a moment to acknowledge the board’s control over district-owned land...

“People said maybe create a state park, maybe try to do more amusement parks,” DeSantis said with a grin. “Someone even said, ‘Maybe you need another state prison.’ Who knows? The possibilities are endless and that is now going to be analyzed to see what makes the most sense.”

The idea of placing a state prison inside the vast district stems from the political expectations that local communities do not WANT a state prison within running distance of their neighborhoods. The threat of prisoners escaping tends to get an HOA screaming NIMBY, and DeSantis wants to alienate Disney World from the cities - from Polk, Osceola, Lake, and Orange (maybe Seminole) Counties - within that range. DeSantis thinks he can get the locals to blame Disney for the new prison, but everyone can see the idiot proposing this is himself.

Building other amusement parks within the Lake Buena Vista area could go against the land-use agreements for Disney itself, and that's arguably a fight that the courts will side with the corporation vs. the state in every regard (Capitalism cannot be denied).

Thrown into this is DeSantis' open bullying, where he announced his effort to get the state legislature to re-write the safety inspection laws so that ONLY Disney parks undergo special inspections, while the similarly sized theme parks in the area - Universal Orlando, Sea World, and LegoLand - retain the exceptions that large-scale parks have been getting. This kind of intentional focus on just ONE company while letting other similar businesses in the same area avoid it is so obvious a punishment that Disney's lawyers ought to overturn it in federal courts as an unfair restriction on business (Again, Capitalism cannot be denied).

DeSantis keeps digging this foxhole, thinking he can win this war against a corporation that's already shown to have the legal smarts and firepower to punch back in ways to make DeSantis bleed on-camera even more.

I dunno who's more delusional about winning an unwinnable war: Putin or DeSantis.

And having said all that, if Princess Lilibet of Sussex does use her powers under the Laws Against Perpetuity to decree it, we can well see Disney World building their own state prison to counter DeSantis' corrupt version, only this state prison will be the most enjoyable, fantastic prison in the World (the prison with the most water slides wins)!

THE TOP TEN RIDES GETTING BUILT IN DISNEY'S SING SING PARK:

10. The Bitcoin Pirates of Silicon Valley

9. Elsa's Frozen Lesbian Blanket Party

8. It's a Small Cell Block After All

7. TRON's Lightcycle Breakout

6. The Black Hole (aka Solitary)

5. Hall of Alcatraz Escapees

4. Haunted Electric Chair

3. Mickey's House of Pain

2. That Spinning Teacups Ride (EVERY park should have a teacups ride)

And the NUMBER ONE RIDE OF DISNEY'S SING SING PARK:

1. DeSantis' Wild Primary Ride (Closed for Repairs)

Sunday, April 16, 2023

What Is Going On With Secrets

It's been a crazy story about U.S. military intel on Ukraine leaking via a Discord social media app managed by pro-Putin Jack Teixeira, and there's several out there talking about it, but Emptywheel has some solid takes on it like this one:

It’s something like 34 paragraphs deep into this WaPo report on how a bunch of documents got shared on a Discord server named “Thug Shaker” before WaPo reveals there was another name for the specific room in which someone who works on a military base shared classified information: bear-vs-pig, an allusion to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine...

Indeed, even the teenagers interviewed by the WaPo describe, whether they recognize it or not, that “OG” is a narcissist craving for adulation, even if comes from teenagers or people posing as teenagers in a Discord chat room...

And whether the foreigners in the Discord server had followed OG there or even had elicited these leaks, they surely saw the same thing a bunch of teenagers saw: he would and did leak to feed his own ego and rationalized doing so with claims about the Deep State, the same kind of claims that the former President spreads regularly...

Emptywheel brings up a similar point in another article:

Dan Froomkin says reporters should call Jack Teixeira’s release of highly classified documents “theft,” not a leak, distinguishing “public-spirited” leakers from “self-serving … thieves.” Spencer Ackerman muses that Teixeira, “leaked for that most ineffable thing, something nonmaterial but nevertheless hyper-real in the logic of the poster, and particularly the right-wing-chud poster: clout...”

A bunch of people who made their careers because a young, narcissistic IT guy stole a shit-ton of records about which he had little personal expertise — some incredibly important, a great many useful only to America’s adversaries — seem to be uncertain what to make of Jack Teixeira, who, early reports at least suggest, is an even younger narcissistic IT guy who stole a smaller shit-ton of records about which he had even less personal expertise, some newsworthy, some useful primarily to America’s adversaries...

The common thread, when one looks back at the history of espionage, national security leaks, and other misadventures is the level of ego that plays into the motive. Even in matters where the intent was honest - like whistleblowing about criminal intent, or at least attempting to warn people about the dangers that were coming - the person leaking that information is doing so out of ego-stroking.

Everything revealed so far about Teixeira points to a very young man desperate for validation - someone who washed out of military special forces and stuck to a low-ranking office job - who got offered the keys to a treasure chest and decided to steal from that treasure to show off to his fellow wingnut gaming buddies. At no time did Teixeira share the classified documents he had to the traditional media or even any of the Far Right media outlets he followed, at no time did he play the valiant role of whistleblower.

Jack Teixeira took advantage of a unique and troubling moment in human political affairs: A moment where the expansive system of National Security classified documentation is most vulnerable to a global interconnected social media network where a single individual could expose everything in the blink of an eye (or in the snap of a smartphone camera).

Seriously, look at our modern tech. We're carrying around miniature computers in our pockets (or on our wrists) with more calculating power than a 1980s desktop computer, with built-in cameras that would put the cigarette case spy cameras of 1960s James Bond movies to shame. All of that connected wirelessly to cell phone signals or wifi links across every cafe and public meeting place.

All of that available to any number of people motivated by modern social norms to promote themselves as Influencers on TikTok or YouTube or Twitter. "See, I got something you don't, and doesn't that make me impressive!"

We are at the point where everything we know about maintaining an edge on National Security - to keep us one step ahead of Russia or China or Iran or even Aruba - is at risk of a young low-ranking military officer with no idea of the severity that classified information is all about willing and eager to pose as above and beyond the E-3 status of their payroll.

It does not help that our Top Secret classification system is massive: Too many people creating too many documents where a lot of those documents don't need actual TSI tags but still get them because their agencies are driven by the desire to classify as much as possible to avoid any risk. Instead, they're now creating that risk because they need too many people in the military and intel agencies to handle all that damn paperwork in the first place.

There's been calls over the years that we need to cut back on the number of classified documents, that we're accidentally - or worse, intentionally - drowning ourselves needlessly in secret paperwork. We're now at the point where the intelligence community is going to break, not from a covert spy war with a foreign power but with our own nation's social media addicts.

Too many secrets. Too many idiots in charge of those secrets. We're starting to see a dangerous trend.

Thursday, April 13, 2023

What Was Bought, What Was Sold

A lobbyist working the Texas state legislature gets wind of a bill that would go against his clients' interests, so he goes around offering campaign funds to willing legislators to drop the bill. A particular official is tricky to get but the lobbyist finally gets him to commit with a $10,000 donation. When the bill comes to a floor vote, the lobbyist is outraged to watch that official vote for the bill. He angrily confronts the man later on to find out the opposition had paid him off with a $50,000 donation. The lobbyist keeps cursing out the legislator, who finally shrugs and answers "you knew I was weak when I took the ten thousand."
-- one of many Molly Ivins' apocryphal yet likely-true stories

The corruption of Far Right, holier-than-thou, hypocritical, two-faced conservatives is easy to spot when the rot is sitting atop the entire federal judiciary.

Clarence Thomas got on the Supreme Court bench in 1991 under a cloud of legitimate sexual harassment allegations, aided by Republican Senators who bullied Anita Hill and Democratic Senators loathe to rock the boat. That there were other accusers who were ignored or blocked from testifying remains an injustice to this day.

Ever since then, Thomas has worked under a cloud of unethical behavior that kept getting swept under the rug because those in charge - the Chief Justice is responsible for overseeing investigations into SCOTUS misconduct - would rather keep the conservative majority unified and in control of the Judiciary. 

Never mind the many times Thomas should have recused himself from cases that involved his politically active wife Ginni, especially her involvement in the January 6th Insurrection.

Never mind the calls for investigations like this one in 2013 into Thomas' attending fundraising events for the Federalist Society, a violation of judicial ethics banning judges from any political fundraising.

There's been other questionable and unethical judges on the Supreme Court before: Samuel Chase was impeached in 1805 but it was more over partisan politics than direct misconduct, James Clark McReynolds was personally unlikeable and anti-Semitic, and Abe Fortas was forced to resign over revelations of an annual retainer from a Wall Street financier that compromised impartiality.

But have any of them sank to the levels that Thomas has, given the reveal of Thomas' ties to a deep-pocket Far Right billionaire?

ProPublica broke the story last week about how Clarence and Ginni Thomas would receive lavish gifts, rides on luxury yachts and private jets, and enjoy expensive vacations all on the dime of one Harlan Crow, billionaire real estate developer and a major Federalist Society funder (Via Joshua Kaplan, Justin Elliott and Alex Mierjeski):

In late June 2019, right after the U.S. Supreme Court released its final opinion of the term, Justice Clarence Thomas boarded a large private jet headed to Indonesia. He and his wife were going on vacation: nine days of island-hopping in a volcanic archipelago on a superyacht staffed by a coterie of attendants and a private chef.

If Thomas had chartered the plane and the 162-foot yacht himself, the total cost of the trip could have exceeded $500,000. Fortunately for him, that wasn’t necessary: He was on vacation with real estate magnate and Republican megadonor Harlan Crow, who owned the jet — and the yacht, too.

For more than two decades, Thomas has accepted luxury trips virtually every year from the Dallas businessman without disclosing them, documents and interviews show. A public servant who has a salary of $285,000, he has vacationed on Crow’s superyacht around the globe. He flies on Crow’s Bombardier Global 5000 jet. He has gone with Crow to the Bohemian Grove, the exclusive California all-male retreat, and to Crow’s sprawling ranch in East Texas. And Thomas typically spends about a week every summer at Crow’s private resort in the Adirondacks.

The extent and frequency of Crow’s apparent gifts to Thomas have no known precedent in the modern history of the U.S. Supreme Court.

These trips appeared nowhere on Thomas’ financial disclosures. His failure to report the flights appears to violate a law passed after Watergate that requires justices, judges, members of Congress and federal officials to disclose most gifts, two ethics law experts said. He also should have disclosed his trips on the yacht, these experts said...

The law in question appears to be the Ethics In Government Act, passed in 1978 as part of the post-Watergate reforms. Thomas apparently refused to file the paperwork that thousands of federal employees - from the President on down to the janitors at the Smithsonian - file every time they receive ANY kind of gift from persons who have or even might do business with the U.S. government.

Even Thomas' fellow Justices reported gifts as simple as fishing rods or as ornate as bronze sculptures, all because these things could be considered acts of bribery and influence peddling by rich people looking for favors if any legal matters come to the fore.

Thomas refused to apply the laws to himself, exposing his judicial authority as hypocrisy, himself as a fraud. His claims to not understanding the law, or that he went by other people's bad advice, violates the common legal concept that "ignorance of the law is no excuse."

And today the story got worse when ProPublica (again by Justin Elliott, Joshua Kaplan and Alex Mierjeski) uncovered how Crow directly paid Thomas in a land deal that Thomas failed to report

In 2014, one of Texas billionaire Harlan Crow’s companies purchased a string of properties on a quiet residential street in Savannah, Georgia. It wasn’t a marquee acquisition for the real estate magnate, just an old single-story home and two vacant lots down the road. What made it noteworthy were the people on the other side of the deal: Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas and his relatives.

The transaction marks the first known instance of money flowing from the Republican megadonor to the Supreme Court justice. The Crow company bought the properties for $133,363 from three co-owners — Thomas, his mother and the family of Thomas’ late brother, according to a state tax document and a deed dated Oct. 15, 2014, filed at the Chatham County courthouse.

The purchase put Crow in an unusual position: He now owned the house where the justice’s elderly mother was living. Soon after the sale was completed, contractors began work on tens of thousands of dollars of improvements on the two-bedroom, one-bathroom home, which looks out onto a patch of orange trees. The renovations included a carport, a repaired roof and a new fence and gates, according to city permit records and blueprints.

A federal disclosure law passed after Watergate requires justices and other officials to disclose the details of most real estate sales over $1,000. Thomas never disclosed his sale of the Savannah properties. That appears to be a violation of the law, four ethics law experts told ProPublica...

This wasn't a misunderstanding or the gift of a friend, this was a business transaction and a clear violation of ethics.

It ought to be treated as violation of federal law.

Given the broken nature of Congress, and the historical failures of impeachment where partisan loyalty overrode the best interests of the nation, we should not expect any action out of them other than public posturing. The House Republicans will never turn on one of their justices responsible for the extremist rightward bent of the Supreme Court: The Senate Democrats may hold committees about Thomas' failures but can't get the two-thirds vote needed to remove him.

This is a matter that has to go to the Justice Department. Never mind the screams from the Far Right that this is "yet another witch hunt" against a Republican figure. Thomas is refusing to abide by the expected ethical norms of the office he holds, and he is flouting the legal system he is supposed to defend. If he's breaking a law, any law, he needs to be held accountable like any other citizen. No one, not a President nor a Senator nor a Justice should be above the law.

How can anyone accept a legal ruling from a Supreme Court Justice who will not hold himself accountable to the laws he applies to everyone else?

Where is DeSantis During the Flood of Ft. Lauderdale

This has been going on since last night, major storm weather hovering over Ft. Lauderdale and much of South Florida, causing massive floods (via Alisha Ebrahimji, Joe Sutton, Travis Caldwell and Jennifer Gray at CNN):

Fort Lauderdale experienced the rainiest day in its history Wednesday – a 1-in-1,000-year rainfall event – sparking a flash flood emergency in Broward County that has prompted emergency rescues, forced drivers to abandon cars, shuttered schools and shut down the airport through 9 a.m. Friday. And more rain is coming down.

The region recorded widespread rainfall totals of more than a foot, while Fort Lauderdale tallied 25.91 inches in a 24-hour period, according to preliminary reports from the National Weather Service office in Miami...

While the rain Thursday won’t reach nearly the amounts that fell on Wednesday, it will be problematic and create additional flooding, the National Weather Service said. Gusty winds, small hail and even isolated tornadoes are possible.

A flash flood warning for southern Broward County, including Fort Lauderdale, Pembroke Pines and Hollywood, has been extended until 9:30 p.m., the National Weather Service said, and a severe thunderstorm warning is in effect for parts of Broward and Miami-Dade counties. The storms may bring winds of up to 60 mph and potentially small hail.

Thunderstorms are beginning to develop across southeastern Florida and will once again bring a risk of flash flooding to the region.

In the meantime, where is state Governor Ron DeSantis?

He's in freaking Ohio this Thursday (via Henry J. Gomez for NBC News):

Republicans in Ohio — a state where Donald Trump won twice by healthy margins and has enjoyed enormous political influence — greeted Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis warmly here Thursday, signaling high curiosity in his potential 2024 presidential bid...

FUCK YOU, RON. Your job is down here in Florida, not on the goddamn campaign trail.

Update: It got worse. DeSantis returned Thursday night to Tallahassee... to sign a late-night bill making Florida's abortion laws so restrictive it might as well be a total ban, doing it without major media because even he realizes this would alienate millions of voters, and then slinking back to his goddamned book Presidential tour in Virginia Friday morning. The bastard is not doing his job.

Tuesday, April 11, 2023

How Republicans Want Justice: For Themselves Alone

Update: Many thanks again to Batocchio for adding me to Crooks & Liars' Mike's Blog Round-Up. Please take the time to look at the other articles on this site, and please support the pro-choice groups out there as the wingnut Republicans take away women's rights, especially here in Florida as the idiot governor sneaks in around midnight to sign a restrictive anti-abortion bill without media fanfare while Ft. Lauderdale floods, the bastard...


You want to see the real weaponization of the American justice system?

It's not from state district or federal attorneys going after donald trump for illegal misdeeds he's openly committed (and in the case of the stolen classified documents, something he still brags about).

Watch as the Republican Texas governor openly - HAPPILY - plans to pardon a Far Right shooter who killed a Black Lives Matter protestor right after a jury convicted that shooter for murder (via Bill Chappell at NPR):

One day after a jury convicted U.S. Army Sgt. Daniel Perry of murder for shooting and killing Garrett Foster at a Black Lives Matter protest in 2020, Texas Gov. Greg Abbott said he wants Perry to receive a pardon.

Perry, 35, hasn't been sentenced yet, but the state pardons and parole board is already starting to review his case, at Abbott's request.

"I am working as swiftly as Texas law allows regarding the pardon of Sgt. Perry," Abbott said over the weekend, via Twitter...

The governor didn't go into detail about why he believes Perry should be pardoned, but he cited Perry's attorney's explanation that Perry shot Foster in self-defense.

"Texas has one of the strongest 'Stand Your Ground' laws of self-defense that cannot be nullified by a jury or a progressive District Attorney," Abbott said...

The thing is, that jury weighed the evidence presented in court, and didn't believe Perry's claims of self-defense because eyewitnesses testified that Foster wasn't threatening Perry in that moment. It didn't help Perry that he bragged before going to the rally that he "might have to kill a few people." The jury did its job, and yet Abbott declared it 'nullification'.

One of the things I've heard and read about the legal system is how sacrosanct jury decisions are (just Google "juries are the bedrock" and see the results). The appellate system is loathe to overturn jury rulings unless there's proof the jury was tampered with or didn't receive the full facts of the case, and even then it's like moving mountains for the higher courts to do so. 

The matter has barely been settled in a court of law, and already Abbott wants to overrule the whole trial. It's not the jury committing nullification (the refusal to accept the legal facts of the matter and rule in contravention to what the court instructed), it's the state governor

Abbott is essentially guaranteeing a "Get Out of Jail Free" card for Perry, and signaling that he will offer the same deal to any other Far Right gunman eager to disrupt any protest or rally that offends their extremism.

Abbott isn't doing this because the trial was unfair, or because Perry is suffering any form of injustice (or requires some form of mercy due to medical emergency or personal loss). Abbott is doing this for partisan reasons, for pandering to the rabid Republican voting base convinced there's a shooting war between themselves and the dreaded Other (liberals, Blacks, immigrants, women, college students, and more). Abbott is doing this to "own the libs," and to make it clear that any protest - even peaceful ones guaranteed by the First Amendment of the United States Constitution - can become a shooting gallery for MAGA wingnuts.

The Far Right meme of "Librul Hunting Licenses" just got real.

Abbott is doing this because Republicans don't believe in justice for all: Republicans want a skewed legal system that protects only them and punishes everyone else.

Gods help us.

Saturday, April 08, 2023

April 8 is Rex Manning Day

If you are (White) Generation X, you will know this quote.

“We mustn't dwell. No, not today. We can't. Not on Rex Manning Day!”


Empire Records was a quirky teen comedy movie in 1995 about an indie record store where the employees were coping with interpersonal traumas, the threat of getting bought out by the big retail stores, and coping with an aging pop star in Rex Manning who hadn't realized the 1980s were over.

The movie was pretty much screwed by the studio that forced drastic cuts to the film, failed to test the appropriate markets, and dumped the movie with little fanfare or advertising. Even with a well-received soundtrack of 90s hits, the movie was considered a huge flop. It had to take cable viewings for the right audience - the above-mentioned (White) Gen Xers - who had lived through that era of Grunge/post-Pop to fall in love with the characters and wacky antics.

So today, break out those vinyl records - because yes, they've made a comeback! - and dance, DANCE I TELL YOU! to the happy hoppy tones of Rex Manning's "Say No More Mon Amour!"

DAMN THE MAN! 

SAVE THE EMPIRE! 

OPEN 'TIL MIDNIGHT!

...

MIDNIGHT!!!


Friday, April 07, 2023

DeSantis Wants His War On The Mouse

Is Princess Lilibeth of Sussex gonna have to get in here and separate you two?

It's turning out that Governor Ron DeSantis - eager to win a Culture War battle against a pro-gay corporation like Disney and embarrassed on the international stage by Disney's legal maneuver to deny him that victory - wants to go on a full-out Salt The Earth campaign against the House of Mouse. Via Gabrielle Russon at Florida Politics:

Disney has been under fire from Republicans since last year when the company took a public stance on the state’s parental rights in education legislation, which critics call the “Don’t Say Gay” law.

As revenge, the Legislature approved a new law this year taking control of a Disney-appointed government board that oversees the resort’s infrastructure and emergency services. DeSantis appointed five new members to run the board.

But the latest twist has been Disney’s old governing board approving long-term deals stripping the state-controlled board of its power. The agreements were approved in a public meeting in the final days before the state took over.

Speaking Friday in Ocala, DeSantis vowed the state will work to overturn the agreements made by the old board.

On Thursday night, DeSantis hinted at other steps the state could take against Disney as he spoke at the conservative private Hillsdale College in Michigan.

“We’re not just going to void the development agreement they tried to do. We’re going to look at things, like taxes on the hotels, we’re going to look at things like tolls on the roads, we’re going to look at things like developing some of the property that the district owns,” DeSantis said, according to Florida Playbook published by Politico reporter Gary Fineout.

“They are not superior to the people of Florida. So come hell or high water, we’re going to make sure that policy of Florida carries the day. And so they can keep trying to do things. But ultimately we’re going to win on every single issue involving Disney, I can tell you that...”

It should be interesting to note that DeSantis was speaking at a conservative private college in Michigan instead of a public gathering in his own state of Florida. This is because DeSantis isn't doing this for the people of Florida: He's doing this so he can win over Culture War Far Right Republican voters in 2024.

We should also note how DeSantis is threatening to raise taxes on the surrounding hotels, converting the roadways into the Disney World complex into tolls to force more financial burdens on the locals, and seizing Disney's properties - would that be eminent domain or asset forfeiture? - to develop unwanted - likely costly and environmentally destructive - construction projects to make the region an ungodly sight. This is all coming from a man representing a political party that openly despised taxing large corporations, and from a man crowing about how his defense of "freedom" has saved Florida from dreaded a) liberalism b) socialism c) academic research or d) all of the above. The hypocrisy of DeSantis' threats underscore that it's not about taxes or freedom, it's always about getting everyone else to obey The Party him.

Given the location of Disney World on the Florida map, DeSantis is talking about wrecking havoc not only on the Disney World Resort area but pretty much everything between Polk, Lake, Osceola, Orange, and Seminole Counties. If DeSantis is going to blockade every roadway into Disney, he's going to have to set up tolls on both ends of I-4 surrounding the area. The wider the scope - adding tolls to the side roads from Lake and Seminole into the region, as well as key locations across Osceola and Orange - the more damage he can inflict on the local communities who need to work/live there.

If DeSantis is feeling extremely petty, he can put toll booths right at the intersection of I-4 and US 27 in Davenport, which happens to be a serious traffic bottleneck for everyone from Tampa and Lakeland trying to get to Orlando the city (which is further northeast from Disney). And he can refuse to set up the radar-scan type drive-by checkpoints that modern toll systems are using: He will set up the coin machine ones, the kind that break down every other hour and require you carrying $10 worth of quarters every time you try to go through.

DeSantis is also willing to impose his punishments on other businesses, not only the local stores and retailers who rely on tourism to survive but also on the large hotel chains who will feel the losses if DeSantis' taxes makes it too expensive for people to visit, eat, or shop across the Orlando metro. This won't be just a headache for the locals, this is going to turn into a business disaster across the whole nation.

DeSantis is behaving like a bully who's been punched in the face by a bigger, better trained fighter for the first time in his life, and doesn't get the idea that he needs to take a step back and accept the loss.

What he's threatening to unleash isn't going to just affect Disney's corporate leaders, it's going to affect an entire region of Florida with millions of residents, about a third of whom directly rely on the resorts and parks Disney runs and about another third who have businesses affected by Disney's well-being. Tourism is Florida's $50 billion meal ticket, and DeSantis is willing to crash and burn most of that for his personal vendetta against an enemy of his own choosing.

I quote Machiavelli often. Machiavelli's warning to would-be Princes - to would-be dictators like DeSantis - is that they need to avoid being hated. And nothing, Machiavelli added, makes people hate you more than fucking with their livelihoods.

If DeSantis thinks that punishing everyone else is going to make all the other residents and business owners hate on Disney, he's an idiot. Everyone is watching this, everyone knows who is putting the screws on here, and it's DeSantis and his GOP allies. If DeSantis thinks he's shielded from public outrage and discomfort due to a Far Right Culture War that's distracted Florida voters into siding with Republicans, he's going to wake up to a reality where people will shift their anger towards the Republican Party that's punishing them for things they didn't do.

This is a scorched Earth tactic that never ends well for anybody.

I keep begging my fellow Floridians to wake up to the real dangers that a rabid, hate-driven Republican Party brings to our state and our nation. 

Please for the love of GOD stop voting Republican. Please for the love of GOD let DeSantis fall to his own doom. 

Wednesday, April 05, 2023

The Little Risks in Indicting trump

I went home with the waitress, the way I always do/
How was I to know, she was with the Russians, too?/

I was gambling in Havana, I took a little risk/
Send lawyers guns and money, dad, get me out of this!

- "Lawyers Guns and Money," Warren Zevon

So we'll just get straight to the facts.

Here's what the Manhattan District Attorney filed against donald trump in court this Tuesday April 4th. It ended up as 34 separate counts of Falsifying Business Records, bumped up to felony charges linked to "other crimes" which were implied to be related either to trump's tax records or to his 2016 Presidential campaign (that a straight-up Conspiracy charge wasn't added to the indictment threw a couple of observers off).

Here's a little bit of what Emptywheel describes from what she's read:

Alvin Bragg just explained the case. The argument is that in 2015 and 2016, Michael Cohen, David Pecker, Trump, and others agreed to conduct the catch-and-kill program to help Trump win. That violated three crimes, per Bragg:

  • New York State laws prohibiting the promotion of a candidate by false means
  • Federal campaign finance laws
  • Document falsification by American Media Inc (National Enquirer)

He alleges each invoice and check were an attempt to cover up those 2016 crimes...

There's been interest in how serious a matter this case will be for trump, considering the three other criminal investigations into his misdeeds. For some legal experts, this case is a minor thing and probably not even going to work. Ian Millhiser at Vox is worried the legal theory DA Bragg is using falls under 'dubious' at best:

The actual felony counts arise out of allegedly false entries that Trump made in various business records in order to make the payment to Daniels appear to be ordinary legal expenses paid to Cohen.

But Bragg built his case on an exceedingly uncertain legal theory. Even if Trump did the things he’s accused of, it’s not clear Bragg can legally charge Trump for them, at least under the felony version of New York’s false records law.

As Mark Pomerantz, a former prosecutor in the Manhattan DA’s office who played a significant role in the Trump investigation prior to his resignation in 2022, wrote in a recent book, a key legal question that will determine whether Trump can be charged under the felony version of New York’s false records law has never been resolved by any appellate court in the state of New York.

The felony statute requires Bragg to prove that Trump falsified records to cover up a crime. Bragg has evidence that Trump acted to cover up a federal crime, but it is not clear that Bragg is allowed to point to a federal crime in order to charge Trump under the New York state law...

And even if Bragg’s legal team convinces New York’s own courts that this prosecution may move forward, there is also a very real danger that the Supreme Court of the United States, with its GOP-appointed supermajority, could decide that it needs to weigh in on whether Trump should be shielded from this prosecution.

The Supreme Court has long held, under a doctrine known as the “rule of lenity,” that “fair warning should be given to the world, in language that the common world will understand, of what the law intends to do if a certain line is passed.” Thus, when the meaning of a criminal statute is unclear, the Constitution sometimes requires that statute to be read narrowly because an unclear criminal law did not give potential defendants “fair warning” that their conduct was illegal...

Bragg, in other words, has built one of the most controversial and high-profile criminal cases in American history upon the most uncertain of foundations. And that foundation could crumble into dust if the courts reject his legal arguments on a genuinely ambiguous question of law...

On the other side of the legal argument, Quinta Jurecic at the Atlantic views the case as bad for trump and thinks trump's behavior from 2016 onward could establish grounds for a jury to convict: 

Bragg consistently framed the charges in his press conference as efforts to hold Trump accountable for lies to the public. The statement of facts alleges that Trump and his team set the hush-money payments in motion to better his chances in the 2016 election: “The Defendant did not want this information to become public because he was concerned about the effect it could have on his candidacy,” the district attorney writes of McDougal’s account of an affair. Trump schemed with Cohen to pay off Daniels after news broke in early October 2016 of the Access Hollywood tape, further endangering his campaign. As sketched by Bragg, this was a coordinated effort to deny American voters relevant information in advance of the election. According to the statement of facts, Trump initially suggested to Cohen “that if they could delay the payment until after the election, they could avoid paying altogether, because at that point it would not matter if the story became public.”

Trump did not just purchase silence ahead of the 2016 vote. He worked while he was in office to complete the cover-up. When The Wall Street Journal first began reporting about the payments to Daniels and McDougal in 2018, Trump lied repeatedly to the American public and claimed that he had no knowledge of the matter. Before that, as Bragg sets out and as Cohen admitted in his plea deal with the Southern District of New York, Trump repaid Cohen with a series of checks in 2017, after Trump had sworn the oath of office. According to Bragg, the two finalized the arrangements for repayment in a February 2017 meeting held in the Oval Office itself.

Even Jurecic admits Bragg needs to bring more facts to establish directly how the laws were broken. But she sees enough already to think Bragg has a solid criminal case to bring against trump. She also doesn't see any of this affecting the other - more damaging - criminal cases trump faces in Georgia and Washington DC. Even if Bragg misses his shot, Fulton County DA Fani Willis and Special Counsel Jack Smith won't.

So while the Manhattan indictments are nice, we still as a nation have a ways to go before we see justice done with all of trump's sins.

John Cole at Balloon Juice said it best yesterday, and you need to read his quotes in full (this is the part that nails it):

It’s tiring because of the awful shit I am going to have to listen to like “If they can do this to Trump they can do this to anyone!!!one!!!1ELEVEN” No fucking shit. They already do this to everyone else. Are you unaware of the carceral nature of the United States? Are you unaware that every prosecutor in the country chooses to threaten accused with horrible penalties from a jury trial to get them to plead to something lesser? Are you unaware that Michael fucking Cohen did jail time for this already? Are you this blissfully fucking ignorant that the reason we are JUST NOW indicting Trump is because his money and stature and position as President shielded him from earlier prosecution? Are you unaware he was the fucking unindicted co-conspirator in the Cohen case? Trump isn’t being targeted because he is Trump. He was PROTECTED until now because he was Trump. Fucking hell...

Let justice be done.


Tuesday, April 04, 2023

April 4th Remembrance of Reverend King

In this moment, remembering that we killed a man who dared to speak for justice and peace, for equality both racial and economic, we must think back on the words he spoke to inspire us towards the better angels of our nature:

"...We proclaim our devotion to democracy, but we sadly practice the very opposite of the democratic creed. We talk passionately about peace, and at the same time we assiduously prepare for war. We make our fervent pleas for the high road of justice, and then we tread unflinchingly the low road of injustice. This strange dichotomy, this agonizing gulf between the ought and the is, represents the tragic theme of man's earthly pilgrimage."

- from the Strength to Love sermons

I'm choosing that quote because on this day, the great threat to American democracy, the rough beast that spread injustice behind him like a wake of destruction, is facing justice this afternoon in a Manhattan courtroom.

Even Reverend King would be popping the champagne on watching this Shitgibbon get a semblance of justice after decades of trumpian racist rage.

Monday, April 03, 2023

The Ignorance and Arrogance of trump, Documented

While everyone is paying attention to the indictment drama - reportedly 34 (!) felony counts (!!!) -unfolding in Manhattan tomorrow afternoon - GINGER, GET THE POPCORN - David A Graham at the Atlantic would like to remind us that there's an even bigger indictment awaiting donald "BREAK ALL THE LAWS" trump regarding the classified documents he pilfered when he left the White House in 2021

The documents matter is different. Unlike the DOJ probe into Trump’s attempts to steal the 2020 election (which, like the documents investigation, is being run by Special Counsel Jack Smith) or an investigation into the 2020 election in Fulton County, Georgia, it does not cut straight to Trump’s worst damage to American democracy. Yet absconding with presidential records is a crime that only a high-ranking official like the president could commit. Beyond that, the case has long appeared to be the most straightforward to prosecute, as I explained in January. The law is simple, and the general outline is clear: Trump took the documents, and he refused to give them back when asked.

What happened to make this case more important came from developments revealed by the Washington Post over this weekend, which Graham gets to:

As has now become clear, classified documents do occasionally end up in former officials’ possession, as in other recent cases involving President Joe Biden and former Vice President Mike Pence. Many officials caught with such documents complain that they are victims of overclassification, but the law is the law. Even so, two things set Trump’s situation apart: First, the documents are extremely sensitive, reportedly covering nuclear secrets and programs aimed at China and Iran. Second, when the government asked Trump for the documents, he (unlike Biden and Pence) refused to hand them over. This truculence is why the FBI ended up making an unannounced search in August, which turned up more than 100 documents marked classified.

According to the new report: “Federal investigators have gathered new and significant evidence that after the subpoena was delivered, Trump looked through the contents of some of the boxes of documents in his home, apparently out of a desire to keep certain things in his possession, the people familiar with the investigation said.”

If true and provable, that would be a major development. Trump has tried to muddy the waters related to the documents. He has argued that the papers he took belonged to him. Questions also exist about who actually moved documents and what Trump knew about what was in them, and he has historically been clever about maintaining a veneer of deniability. But evidence that shows that Trump personally went through the documents after the subpoena would strongly suggest that obstruction had taken place and set the case even further apart from other classified-material probes. No legal theory suggests that the target of a subpoena can pick and choose whether to comply with some parts and not others...

When confronted with the reality that the National Archives working with the Justice Department were coming to reclaim the documents that should have gone to NARA in the first place, trump personally sorted through what he had to keep the ones he desired. That's STILL not how the Presidential Records Act works, yet trump didn't care.

It isn't just his alleged behavior documented in the WaPo. Graham flashes back to an interview last week trump had with his ally Sean Hannity, where Hannity tried to give trump a way to gaslight his way out of this and trump instead blurted out his complicity:

“I can’t imagine you ever saying, ‘Bring me some of the boxes that we brought back from the White House. I’d like to look at them,’” Hannity said. “Did you ever do that?”

“I would have the right to do that,” Trump replied. “There’s nothing wrong with—”

“I don’t think you would do it,” Hannity pleaded.

“Well, I don’t have a lot of time, but I would have the right to do that. I would do that,” Trump said. “There would be nothing wrong.”

On that last sentence alone, trump reveals both his ignorance and arrogance. Part of this may stem from his background working in the private sector where the CEO is boss and he gets all the perks and the high-value documents. But trump honestly does not seem to understand why the Presidential Records Act even exists. In that Hannity interview trump crows how Richard Nixon got paid $17 million to turn over his papers after he resigned, not grokking that the legal fight over that is what led to the Presidential Records Act getting passed in 1978.

All that trump seems to understand is that those classified documents have value, value he can exploit to make himself richer or run again for office in 2024. Rumors floated around after August of last year that some of the documents found in trump's Mar-A-Lago bedroom were personal intel on various international political leaders (specifically the French President Macron). trump is not about to hand those documents back to National Archives, which is where the WaPo report that trump personally sorted through what he kept makes a ton of sense.

trump doesn't care that he's openly violating laws regarding archiving, national security, and acts of obstruction (which that file-sorting he did counts). There's serious evidence trump still has a number of high-level documents in his possession that are high-risk if they ever got exposed to outside agencies (and serious evidence that has already happened).

It's been said that "ignorance of the law is no excuse." trump's actions may speak to ignorance, but he's been told over the years and he still doesn't care, which makes this all his arrogance. Either way, he's breaking federal laws that will impose serious ramifications when trump gets indicted on these counts.

Tomorrow is just trump facing accountability in New York City. The week after that he's expected to face accountability in Fulton County. After that, we better hope Special Counsel Jack Smith brings trump to account in DC for his sins as a thieving former President Loser of the Popular Vote (Twice).

Keep popping that popcorn, Ginger.


Sunday, April 02, 2023

All Of This Could Have Been Avoided

All of this could have been avoided if the right people in the positions of power made the honest, honorable decisions.

This all could have been avoided if enough Republican voters recognized they were offered a choice to support and defend a known business fraud and unrepentant liar like donald trump, and said No.

This all could have been avoided if enough Republican Party leaders - the elected Senators, Congressperons, Governors, esteemed elders, deep-pocket funders - admitted the trap that donald trump put them in back in 2016, when he threatened to run a third party vanity campaign that could have split Far Right voters and guaranteed a Hillary Clinton victory, and decided that Hillary was the devil they could deal with instead of trump.

This all could have been avoided if that Republican leadership admitted to themselves their Culture War bullshit that they've fed to their voter base - the racism, the sexism, the rage towards immigrants, the violence towards those they deemed Other - created a toxic situation where sensible, practical conservative leadership (yes, that can exist) was untenable, and washed themselves clean of that destructive dogma in order to deny trump his racist/sexist platform.

This all could have been avoided if the political parties - not just the Republicans but also the Democrats and Libertarians and Greens and other parties out there - set for themselves ethical standards for their Presidential candidates to swear to before allowing them to campaign. If they had a screening process where the candidate had to release all their tax returns to public review for the past 20 years, where the candidate had to sell all properties and businesses that would violate the Emoluments Clause before a single primary vote took place, where the candidate had to accept the legitimate results of any vote if they lost. Any single one of those requirements would have stopped trump before he could even start a fake fundraiser for himself.

This all could have been avoided if the Republicans gave up their fetish / worship of business leaders as potential Presidents. The idiotic belief that "Government can be run like a business," which is false as the objectives of a government - uphold laws and serve the public trust - goes against the objectives of a business - to sell products/services and build a profit. That false belief helped trump bluff his way onto the political stage even as a failed businessman.

This all could have been avoided if our American legal system took financial fraud and other white collar crimes more serious. There had been reports and allegations of trump committing money laundering well back into the 1980s. His near-constant appearances in bankruptcy court should have triggered red flags to federal investigators that trump was committing some kind of fraud with all his property developments and failed marketing schemes. There should have been greater effort to track down all the lawsuits and settlements that followed trump everywhere as he bilked and bullied other companies and contractors out of their fair earnings. Instead of going after trump on his fraudulent tax filings today, the district and federal prosecutors should have been doing all this back (1980s) before trump even threatened (1990s) to make a political run.

This all could have been avoided if all the allegations since the 1990s of sexual assault and misconduct trump inflicted towards women were taken more serious. trump should have been a confirmed sex offender well before 2016, and it would have made a reasonable excuse then for the Republican Party to deny him a spot.

This all could have been avoided if enough Americans said "Enough" and denied donald trump even the opportunity to scam and grift us. If enough of us set aside partisan bias - both conservative and liberal - and just recognize the lump of inhuman soulless flesh that trump really is.

Gods help us. This all could have been avoided.

Saturday, April 01, 2023

Breaking News: New Candidates Announce For the 2024 Republican Primary Campaigns

In breaking news this weekend, various individuals have stepped up to announce their intentions to run as Presidential candidates for the Republican Party in the coming 2024 election cycle.

Across the United States, figures such as former investor Michael Milken, alleged Genovese crime family boss Liborio "Barney" Bellomo, and the desiccated corpse of Ponzi scheme financier Bernie Madoff appeared before reporters to confirm they were each filing paperwork with the Republican National Committee to have their names placed on the primary ballots in 2024.

Milken, best known for promoting "junk bonds" as an investment scheme during the 1980s before facing criminal indictments and pleading guilty to numerous counts of securities fraud, informed his audience at his philanthropy offices in Los Angeles that "All things considered, what I know about my good friend Donald Trump, I can certainly perform better than he has, I can certainly commit more acts of fraud and embezzling and Emoluments violations while in office than he can, and hell if I need another pardon I can always issue myself one."

Milken continued with a thumbs up gesture to his unpaid audience of volunteers and interns working for college credit. "If the Republican voting base are THIS happy to vote for an indicted con artist and tax cheat, well damn this is a crowd of suckers I can play to. Have at it, America!"

Meanwhile in New York, Bellomo appeared in front of the Bleecker Street Pizzeria with a group of supporters and various cast extras from the current hit show "Tulsa King" to announce his intentions to "better represent the ladies, gentlemen and working classes of New York City in ways this loser Trump guy never could."

"I mean, c'mon, look at this wannabe pretender to being a crime boss, he keeps relying on the worst mob lawyers and bagmen I've ever seen," Bellomo noted to the cheers of his audience. "If America wants a Mafioso running this nation, then why not call on the guys who actually know how? Trust me, people, I can run things, I know how to grease wheels, keep things running, I don't discriminate, hell I work with Russian and Chinese and Mexican gangs all the time, and I get things done. You don't see things blowing up on my watch, well except for that little thing in Philly, but if you ask me about that I'll deny it, I got an alibi I swear."

"My guys are getting the signatures we need as I speak," Bellomo concluded, with thumbs up towards the crowd. "We're getting on the ballots, and then we'll see who America respects more, a real Mob boss or one who tries to play one on Fox News! Let's go!"

Meanwhile at the prison cemetery in North Carolina where Bernie Madoff was buried while serving a 150-year sentence for running the largest Ponzi Scheme in world history, reporters watched as Madoff crawled his way out of a tomb with noticeable physical decay since his death in 2021. Once Madoff reached the podium he had this to say.

"Brrraaaaiiinnsss. Brains. More brains... I... more... Cough, excuse me, I just woke up, I'll need some braaaaaiiiinnnnnss to get going. Still and all, I got more brrrrrraaaaaaaiiiinnnssss than Donald Trump. I got more bbbbbbbbbraaaaaaaainsssssssss than Trump's entire legal team. I need the brrrraaaaiiinnnsss of every Republican voter to feed me, and if they're stupid enough to vote for a convicted criminal, they might as well offer up their brrrrrraaaaiiiiinnnnsssss to the guy who did it longer and bigger and richer than that loser."

Madoff attempted to do a thumbs up pose for the cameras only to have his thumb pop off. "So if America wants a crook, better vote for the best crook of them all! And offer me your brrrraaaiiiiinnnssss!" He then proceeded to chase after the reporters at the event, feeling their craniums for brain size and then rejecting them in disgust.

...

Seriously, this isn't as lame-brained an April Fools as you might think. If crooked donald trump is still getting a majority of Republican voters to worship him, then this is the quality of candidates we should expect out of Republicans for the foreseeable future.